Add this copy of The Year 2000: a Framework for Speculation on the Next to cart. $129.42, new condition, Sold by GridFreed rated 5.0 out of 5 stars, ships from San Diego, CA, UNITED STATES, published 1967 by MacMillan Publishing Company.
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Seller's Description:
Very Good. Very Good Dust jacket is worn near edges and corners and previous owner's name is on the inside of front cover, otherwise in very good condition Quality Books Because We Care-Shipped from Canada Usually ships within 1-2 business days If you buy this book from us, we will donate a book to a local school We donate 10, 000+ books to local schools every year.
There was no such thing as "futuring" before Herman Kahn, and this book kicked off the trend. In many ways, still, the best futuring book ever written, it contains Kahn's sagacious and thoughtful speculations from the standpoint of a hardened cold warrior. It bears all the fingerprints of his and his colleague Pierre Wack's expertise in scenario planning, which they invented concurrently in response to the Cold War Challenges to the West. Far superior to Daniel Bell's destructive and absurd "The Coming of the Post-Industrial Society", which was nothing more than a self-fulfilling prophecy of doom for "fortress America", Kahn's great tour de force is notable for its thoughtfulness and mindfulness and does not make sweeping, hard-core predictions about society as does Bell's work. In this respect, Kahn's book reflects the mindset of one of his other works, which dealt with such topics as the feasibility of war, of all things. In "The Year 2000" he made ten technological predictions that were uncannily accurate:
Multiple applications of lasers
Extreme high-strength structural materials
New or improved superperformance fabrics
New or improved materials for equipment and appliances
New airborne vehicles (ground-effect vehicles, giant or supersonic jets, VTOL, STOL)
Extensive commercial applications of shaped-charge explosives
More reliable and longer-range weather forecasting
Extensive and/or intensive expansion of tropical agriculture and forestry
New sources of power for fixed installations
New sources of power for ground transportation
Whereas Bell's work was designed largely as a self-fulfilling prophecy (the industrial society did not wane naturally, but because people--especially Ivy-League academics--bought into the nonsense in Bell's book), Kahn's book has proven to be surprisingly accurate in its details. Here, 58 years after its initial publication, it is still worth paying $55 to read it.
